Archive for the ‘sitrep’ Category

I sincerely hope this is a final situation map. Sorry about the last one going missing.

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Lunchmap, 11/08

Is here.

A fuller analysis post will follow, as will much more from this week’s blogqueue.

Lunchmap, 11/08

Is here.

A fuller analysis post will follow, as will much more from this week’s blogqueue.

Lunchmap, 10/08

Today’s updated Google Earth overlay is here. It seems that the right flank march, long predicted here, is now underway. A new Israeli armoured division has appeared in the north and is moving north through Khiam (yup, where the UNTSO guys were until that unfortunate contretemps with the six-hour artillery barrage) and Marjayoun. This is the fourth division to be employed, therefore a one-third increase in force. However, note that it’s not (at the moment) heading west down the Litani Valley to envelop the Hezbollah force in the south – it’s going north, into the upper Litani valley.

There are two possible explanations for this. One is that the Israelis have decided to go down the river on the north bank as well as the south, and they are seizing the start-line for this movement, perhaps also doing the rumoured move towards Nabatiyeh to get rid of rocket teams said to be firing from this area. The other is that they are going much further into Lebanon, either up the river into the Beka’a or else over the Druze Chouf mountains towards Beirut. Either of these would require more than one division, and the other in the Kiryat Shmona area will be needed in part as a flank guard in the Litani bend (note that the Golani brigade has been pulled out to rest).

The first would make more sense, but then, nothing in this war makes much sense.

Lunchmap, 10/08

Today’s updated Google Earth overlay is here. It seems that the right flank march, long predicted here, is now underway. A new Israeli armoured division has appeared in the north and is moving north through Khiam (yup, where the UNTSO guys were until that unfortunate contretemps with the six-hour artillery barrage) and Marjayoun. This is the fourth division to be employed, therefore a one-third increase in force. However, note that it’s not (at the moment) heading west down the Litani Valley to envelop the Hezbollah force in the south – it’s going north, into the upper Litani valley.

There are two possible explanations for this. One is that the Israelis have decided to go down the river on the north bank as well as the south, and they are seizing the start-line for this movement, perhaps also doing the rumoured move towards Nabatiyeh to get rid of rocket teams said to be firing from this area. The other is that they are going much further into Lebanon, either up the river into the Beka’a or else over the Druze Chouf mountains towards Beirut. Either of these would require more than one division, and the other in the Kiryat Shmona area will be needed in part as a flank guard in the Litani bend (note that the Golani brigade has been pulled out to rest).

The first would make more sense, but then, nothing in this war makes much sense.

..before it gets hopelessly out of date. 1600BST situation map, here. Latest unconfirmed reports suggest that the right swing from the Taibeh/Khiam front down the Litani Valley is under way.

..before it gets hopelessly out of date. 1600BST situation map, here. Latest unconfirmed reports suggest that the right swing from the Taibeh/Khiam front down the Litani Valley is under way.

And today’s Google Earth map overlay is here. KMZ file, correct at 1300BST, not guaranteed for navigation or flight planning, whatever.

I really hope I don’t have to start dating these with the year as well.

Map for today

Today’s lunchtime situation map is here. Google Earth KMZ file. Please note that this one includes corrections and supersedes yesterday’s.

Improved maps

This map contained an error and has been withdrawn.